Best Forex Technical Analysis By Capital Street FX

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Introduction

The GBP/USD consolidates above 1.2700 amid modest USD weakness, driven by a positive risk-on environment. Despite a rebound in the pair, rising tensions in the Red Sea pose potential challenges. Meanwhile, EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0900, influenced by an improving risk mood. The Australian Dollar retraces gains as the market awaits potential policy rate reduction by the Australian Central Bank. Japanese Yen struggles against the USD, with investors anticipating dovish actions from the Bank of Japan amid geopolitical risks and China's economic concerns.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Consolidates Above 1.2700 On Modest USD Weakness.

GBP/USD kicks off the new week on a positive note, trading above 1.2700 early Monday. The risk-on environment bolsters the rebound of the major pair. However, the rising tension in the Red Sea might boost safe-haven asset demand and cap the pair's upside. GBP/USD staged a rebound in the second half of the previous week and erased a large portion of its weekly losses. The pair's near-term technical outlook is yet to point to a build-up of bullish momentum as it holds steady at around 1.2700 in the European morning on Monday. Nevertheless, investors remain indecisive about the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy pivot timing ahead of this week's key growth and inflation data from the US.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 51.69 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 55.73 | Buy Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2685 | Take Profit: 1.2792 | Stop Loss: 1.2619

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – Pound soars, Euro steadies, Kiwi rises, Loonie retreats on crude.

Introduction

GBP/USD gains momentum as the Bank of England signals a likely maintenance of its restrictive policy, reaching near 1.2740. Meanwhile, EUR/USD consolidates near 1.0900 amid uncertainty about the European Central Bank's potential interest rate cut. NZD/USD sees modest gains above mid-0.6000s, influenced by concerns about China's economy. USD/CAD grapples with retracement challenges amid upbeat crude prices, anticipating the Bank of Canada to hold its 5.0% policy rate in Wednesday's meeting.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Builds On Expectation As BoE To Maintain The Restrictive Policy Trades Near 1.2740.

GBP/USD moves upward for the second successive session on Tuesday, inching higher to near 1.2740. The expectations of a status quo in the BoE's monetary policy contribute to the positive performance of the Pound Sterling, which underpins the pair. GBP/USD staged a rebound in the second half of the previous week and erased a large portion of its weekly losses. The pair's near-term technical outlook is yet to point to a build-up of bullish momentum as it holds steady at around 1.2700 in the European morning on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) rally forced GBP/USD to come under bearish pressure last week. However, the improving risk mood toward the end of the week, as reflected by the impressive rally seen in Wall Street's main indexes, weighed on the USD and opened the door for a decisive rebound in the pair.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 56.05 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 64.55 | Buy Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2733 | Take Profit: 1.2822 | Stop Loss: 1.2684

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – EUR/USD Struggles, GBP/USD Rebounds, USD/CHF Falters, NZD/USD Surges.

Introduction

EUR/USD hovers below 1.0900 following Germany's PMI data revealing continued economic contraction, hindering Euro's recovery. Meanwhile, GBP/USD sees improvement near 1.2700 after a sharp Tuesday reversal. USD/CHF, ending its winning streak, trades below 0.8700 amid subdued US Dollar and Fed rate cut speculations. NZD/USD extends gains to 0.6110, benefiting from a weaker USD and in anticipation of US PMI data, following New Zealand's CPI release. Investors await the ECB's monetary policy and US GDP data before making significant moves.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Stays Below 1.0900 After The German PMI Data.

EUR/USD continues fluctuating in a narrow channel below 1.0900 on Wednesday. The data from Germany showed that the private sector's economic activity continued to contract in early January, not allowing the Euro to gather recovery momentum. EUR/USD turned south and touched its lowest level since mid-December at 1.0820 during the American trading hours on Tuesday. Although the pair managed to recover above 1.0850 early Wednesday, the technical outlook is yet to point to a build-up of bullish momentum. Nevertheless, investors are likely to refrain from taking large positions ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy announcements on Thursday.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 43.09 | Neutral Zone | Neutral

Stochastic Oscillator : 22.06 | Sell Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.11 R2 : 1.12
• S1 : 1.08 S2 : 1.07

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Stop Sell: 1.0851 | Take Profit: 1.0749 | Stop Loss: 1.0918

GBP/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY Dynamics.

Introduction

EUR/USD hovers near 1.0880, tracing the 38.2% Fibonacci level in the early European session, driven by a US Dollar retracement. Wednesday's bullish momentum to 1.0930 retreated later as the USD rebounded. Investors await the ECB's policy announcements. GBP/USD experiences a downturn after reaching a two-week high, currently trading around 1.2710. AUD/USD faces a second day of losses at 0.6570 amid an enhanced US Dollar, reacting to positive S&P PMI data. USD/JPY retreats from a one-week peak following the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Moves Lower To Near 1.0880 Followed By The 38.2% Fibonacci Level.

EUR/USD traded lower near 1.0880 during the early European session on Thursday as the US Dollar makes efforts to retrace its recent losses. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the pair is positioned below the 50 mark, indicating a bearish momentum in the market. EUR/USD gathered bullish momentum and advanced to the 1.0930 area on Wednesday. With the US Dollar (USD) staging a rebound later in the day, the pair erased a large portion of its daily gains and returned below 1.0900. Investors await the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy announcements and high-tier data releases from the US.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 46.69 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 30.64 | Sell Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.11 R2 : 1.12
• S1 : 1.08 S2 : 1.07

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0913 | Take Profit: 1.0816 | Stop Loss: 1.0978

GBP/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD trends, EUR/USD pressure, USD/CAD at 1.3500, NZD/USD defense.

Introduction

GBP/USD remains in a consolidation phase below a month-old descending trend-line resistance, hovering just above the 1.2700 level. The pair, which saw a bullish surge earlier in the week, stabilized above 1.2700 despite a minor correction. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces renewed bearish pressure, slipping below 1.0850, driven by USD strength amid risk aversion. The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained key rates, and USD/CAD is trading lower at 1.3472. NZD/USD is on the defensive above 0.6100, influenced by a stronger USD following robust US GDP data, with the Core PCE in focus for further market direction.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Consolidates Below One-Month-Old Descending Trend-Line Resistance.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to gain meaningful traction on Friday and oscillates in a narrow trading band, just above the 1.2700 mark. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain well within striking distance of a nearly two-week high touched on Wednesday. GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum and advanced to its highest level in nearly two weeks above 1.2770 on Wednesday. Although the pair staged a downward correction in the American session, it managed to post daily gains by stabilizing above 1.2700. The PMI data from the UK showed that the private sector's economic activity continued to expand at an accelerating pace in early January.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 50.13 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 57.85 | Buy Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Neutral Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2650 | Take Profit: 1.2767 | Stop Loss: 1.2568

EUR/USD

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Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/USD Swings, EUR/USD Challenges, AUD/USD Rebounds, USD/JPY Gains.

Introduction

GBP/USD retreated below 1.2750, reversing gains after soft US December core PCE inflation data. Despite the setback, the pair eyes marginal weekly gains. Meanwhile, EUR/USD stabilized near 1.0850 post-US inflation data, maintaining positive territory. AUD/USD recovered to 0.6600 on improved market sentiment ahead of US core PCE data, while USD/JPY aimed for the psychological resistance at 148.00, supported by Tokyo CPI slowing below the BoJ's 2.0% target.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Retreats Below 1.2750, And Looks To Post Small Weekly Gains.

GBP/USD lost its traction and retreated below 1.2730 after rising above 1.2750 on soft US December core PCE inflation data in the early American session on Friday. Every week, GBP/USD remains on track to post marginal gains. GBP/USD lost its traction and dropped below 1.2700 in the early trading hours of the European session on Friday. Although the near-term technical outlook is yet to highlight a build-up of bearish momentum, buyers could remain discouraged unless the pair manages to reclaim 1.2700. Upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD) during the American session on Thursday.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 51.13 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 59.44 | Buy Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2622 | Take Profit: 1.2799 | Stop Loss: 1.2524

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD Rise, EUR/USD Caution, AUD/USD Geopolitics, USD/JPY Bullish.

Introduction

GBP/USD reclaims 1.2700 amid a halted US Dollar recovery, driven by reduced expectations of an early BoE rate cut. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pose a potential cap on gains. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces defensive trading near 1.0850, influenced by heightened US Dollar demand amid geopolitical concerns. AUD/USD consolidates near 0.6600 despite geopolitical risks, with attention on US jobs data. USD/JPY hovers around 147.70, with bullish momentum indicated, while technical analysis suggests potential improvement towards 148.00.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Retakes 1.2700 As US Dollar Stalls Recovery.

GBP/USD is trading above 1.2700, finding fresh demand amid a stalled US Dollar recovery in early Europe on Monday. The pair cheers reduced bets for an early BoE rate cut ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Middle East geopolitical tensions could cap the upside. GBP/USD lost its traction and dropped below 1.2700 in the early trading hours of the European session on Friday. Although the near-term technical outlook is yet to highlight a build-up of bearish momentum, buyers could remain discouraged unless the pair manages to reclaim 1.2700. Instead, market participants could remain focused on risk perception.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 52.39 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 56.61 | Buy Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2686 | Take Profit: 1.2783 | Stop Loss: 1.2629

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP, EUR, USD, CAD, NZD dynamics.

Introduction

GBP/USD remains range-bound above 1.2700 in anticipation of crucial decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The pair struggles for bullish momentum as the cautious market sentiment keeps the US Dollar resilient. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.0830, grappling to recover losses amid upward pressure on the greenback. USD/CAD trades softer, influenced by higher oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. NZD/USD attracts buyers above 0.6130, supported by additional stimulus measures in China, though caution prevails ahead of the FOMC meeting.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Oscillates In The Trading Range Above 1.2700 Ahead Of The Fed, BoE Rate Decision.

The GBP/USD pair remains confined in a narrow trading range above the 1.2700 mark during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. Investors prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of key events from the Fed and the BoE. GBP/USD continues to move up and down in a narrow band at around 1.2700 early Monday after closing the previous week virtually unchanged. The near-term technical outlook fails to provide a directional clue but the Federal Reserve's and the Bank of England's (BoE) policy announcements later this week could help the pair break out of its range. The cautious market mood at the beginning of the week helps the US Dollar (USD) stay resilient against its rivals and makes it difficult for GBP/USD to gather bullish momentum.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 51.48 | Sell Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 55.56 | Buy Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2699 | Take Profit: 1.2785 | Stop Loss: 1.2657

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD, EUR/USD dip, Aussie drops, USD/CAD recovers.

Introduction

GBP/USD retreats near 1.2680 ahead of the US Fed's rate decision amidst market caution amid Middle East tensions. With the Fed expected to maintain rates and the Bank of England's commitment to restrictive policies, risk aversion boosts the US Dollar. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces selling pressure, the Australian Dollar weakens on softer inflation and USD/CAD recovers above 1.3400 amid robust US economic data. The global market awaits key central bank decisions and economic indicators.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Edges Lower To Near 1.2680 Ahead Of US Fed Interest Rate Decision.

GBP/USD declines on market caution due to the Middle East tension. Fed is expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 5.5% in January's meeting. BoE is expected to maintain a prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy to curb inflation. GBP/USD extends its losses for the second consecutive session on Wednesday, inching lower to near 1.2680 during the Asian session. The risk aversion sentiment drives Investors towards the US Dollar (USD), which undermines the GBP/USD pair. US President Joe Biden has communicated that the United States will respond in a tiered approach to a specific situation following the deadly drone attack on US troops near the Jordan-Syria border.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 48.54 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 51.85 | Buy Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2684 | Take Profit: 1.2589 | Stop Loss: 1.2749

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – USD/JPY faces uncertainty, NZD concerns post-Chinese PMI.

Introduction

EUR/USD grapples near 1.0800 amidst Fed-induced US Dollar strength, with Chair Powell's insistence on inflation aligning with the 2% target bolstering the greenback. As the market eyes EU inflation data, the pair faces renewed selling pressure, testing the 1.0800 support. Meanwhile, USD/CHF improves post-Powell's rejection of a March rate cut, and USD/JPY struggles amid geopolitical risks and diminished prospects for a March Fed rate cut. NZD/USD edges higher post-Chinese PMI but contends with concerns over China's economic slowdown and geopolitical uncertainties.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Struggles Near 1.0800 On Fed-Led US Dollar Strength.

EUR/USD is battling 1.0800, consolidating the previous decline. Fed Chair Powell highlighted the need for inflation figures to reflect the Fed's 2% ceiling, pushing back against early rate cut expectations and boosting the US Dollar. The focus now shifts to the EU inflation data. The bullish momentum in the US dollar sparked renewed selling momentum in EUR/USD, dragging it to the lower end of the weekly range near the 1.0800 region. Moving forward, investors' debate is still expected to keep the door open to the first interest rate cut in March or May, with the probability of those outcomes at around 36% and 58%, respectively, according to Fed Watch Tool by CME Group.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.08 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 37.09 | Sell Zone | Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator : 12.69 | Sell Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.10 R2 : 1.10
• S1 : 1.08 S2 : 1.07

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0820 | Take Profit: 1.0733 | Stop Loss: 1.0873

USD/CHF

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP, EUR, NZD, AUD trends, NFP impact.

Introduction

GBP/USD hesitates around the mid-1.2700s following a robust post-BoE rebound, as the pair struggles to extend gains amid a narrow trading range. The US Dollar's strength, fueled by Fed Chair Powell's comments, impacts major currencies. EUR/USD advances towards 1.0900 in a positive market mood, while NZD/USD and AUD/USD show resilience on improved data and favorable economic conditions. Investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for further market direction.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Pauses The Post-BoE Rally Near Mid-1.2700s Ahead Of US NFP.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's solid recovery of around 130 pips from the 1.2625 area, or over a two-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the early European session on Friday. After closing the second consecutive day in negative territory on Wednesday, GBP/USD continued to edge lower early Thursday and was last seen trading at around 1.2650. Although the technical outlook points to a bearish tilt in the near term, the pair faces a two-way risk heading into the Bank of England's (BoE) policy announcements. The US Dollar started to gather strength late Wednesday after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said that he doesn't think that a rate reduction in March is the base case scenario.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 57.79 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 72.42 | Buy Zone | Neutral

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2715 | Take Profit: 1.2793 | Stop Loss: 1.2663

EUR/USD

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Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/USD crashes, EUR/USD battles, AUD/USD tumbles.

Introduction

GBP/USD faces a downturn, hitting daily lows near 1.2650, influenced by heightened selling pressure and a robust US jobs report bolstering the USD. Meanwhile, EUR/USD reacts to the NFP, losing key technical support. The AUD/USD tumbles post-jobs report, with the RBA's decision and upcoming economic data crucial for its trajectory. USD/JPY soars to new highs, propelled by strong US employment data, as focus shifts to the BoJ's potential rate changes in March. The week ahead includes key events like RBA's decision, USD data releases, and developments in USD/JPY.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Plummets To Daily Lows Near 1.2650.

The selling pressure in the risk complex gathers extra steam and forces GBP/USD to drop to the lower end of the daily range near 1.2650. The impressive January jobs report from the US provides a boost to the USD ahead of the weekend. GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum and closed in positive territory on Thursday after dipping below 1.2650 with the immediate reaction to the Bank of England's (BoE) policy announcements. The pair holds its ground in the European session on Friday and trades modestly higher on the day above 1.2750. The BoE maintained the bank rate at 5.25%, as expected, following the first policy meeting of the year.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 43.61 | Neutral Zone | Neutral

Stochastic Oscillator : 49.57 | Buy Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Stop Sell: 1.2612 | Take Profit: 1.2500 | Stop Loss: 1.2706

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD falls, EUR/USD fights, AUD/USD fluctuates, USD/JPY rises.

Introduction

GBP/USD faces a decline, reaching 1.2610, as the US Dollar gains strength on robust jobs data, reducing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in March. Meanwhile, EUR/USD struggles below 1.0800 amid sustained USD strength, while AUD/USD recovers from a three-month low, supported by positive economic data. In contrast, USD/JPY sees a rally to a two-month peak, propelled by rising US bond yields and the BoJ's hawkish stance amidst geopolitical concerns.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Extends Losses To Near 1.2610 As The Fed Rate Cut In March Appears Unlikely.

GBP/USD lost ground as US Dollar surged after blockbuster US jobs data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the March meeting is too soon to start rate cuts. BoE's Huw Pill mentioned that the right time for the rate cuts is probably still some time away. GBP/USD continues its decline for the second consecutive session, edging lower to around 1.2610 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD), measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), reaches an eight-week high. This strength in the USD is fueled by positive market sentiment as a March rate cut by the Federal Reserve appears unlikely. The sentiment is based on a promising labor market report released on Friday.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.26 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 41.76 | Neutral Zone | Neutral

Stochastic Oscillator : 36.14 | Sell Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28
• S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2632 | Take Profit: 1.2545 | Stop Loss: 1.2693

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF trends.

Introduction

EUR/USD holds onto recovery gains near 1.0750, buoyed by positive German data, while the USD retreats from its recent multi-week high. In contrast, GBP/USD rebounds toward 1.2600 amid an overall weakened US Dollar. USD/CAD snaps a two-day winning streak above 1.3500, facing resistance ahead of Canadian PMI data. USD/CHF maintains below 0.8700 as the Swiss Franc potentially benefits from an improved 10-year Swiss bond yield, following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's dismissal of a March rate cut.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Clings To Recovery Gains Near 1.0750 On Upbeat German Data.

EUR/USD trades in positive territory near 1.0750 in the European session on Tuesday as the USD retreats from the multi-week high it set on Monday. The data from Germany showed that Factory Orders rose 2.7% in December, supporting the Euro. In two consecutive sessions, EUR/USD broke below the key 200-day SMA (1.0836) and the provisional 100-day SMA (1.0783), reaching levels last seen in early December near 1.0720 on Monday. On the opposite side of the equation, the USD Index (DXY) saw its upside bias strongly reinvigorated as investors kept assessing another firm monthly job creation, as per Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (+353K), along with hawkish remarks from Chief Powell at his interview on CBS released over the weekend.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.0815 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0852 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0868 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.0823 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0867 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0902 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 37.0641 | Sell Zone | Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator : 9.8014 | Sell Zone | Negative

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041
• S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0779 | Take Profit: 1.0719 | Stop Loss: 1.0825

GBP/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – EUR strong, USD paused, JPY struggles, AUD surges.

Introduction

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0750 amidst a weakening US Dollar and market optimism, brushing off mixed German data. Despite a negative start to the week, the pair found stability amid shifting sentiments. Meanwhile, USD/CHF paused after a two-day winning streak, influenced by improved Swiss bond yields. The Japanese Yen struggles against the USD due to hawkish Fed expectations and potential BoJ policy changes. The Australian Dollar gains ground on a weaker US Dollar, fueled by the RBA's hawkish remarks and Powell's emphasis on monitoring inflation. Fed speeches remain in focus for further market direction.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Trades Firmer Above 1.0750 After German Data.

EUR/USD is holding the fort above 1.0750 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair cheers a continued US Dollar pullback and the market's optimism. The Euro shrugs off mixed German Industrial Production data. Fedspeak is next in focus. Following a negative start to the week, EUR/USD extended that pessimism and kept the trade near recent YTD lows in the 1.0725/20 band on turnaround Tuesday. The pair's bearish price action was accompanied by a vacillating mood surrounding the greenback against the backdrop of some small corrections in US yields across various maturities.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.0807 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0844 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0864 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.0811 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0856 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0898 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 38.9615 | Sell Zone | Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator : 15.8181 | Sell Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041
• S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0782 | Take Profit: 1.0722 | Stop Loss: 1.0822

USD/CHF

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Daily FX Analysis – AUD Stable, USD/JPY, NZD, GBP Rise.

Introduction

The GBP/USD pair edges higher to 1.2630 in the early Asian session, supported by a weaker USD and increased UK house prices, indicating confidence that the Bank of England may not cut interest rates soon. Meanwhile, AUD/USD maintains gains above 0.6500 on mixed Chinese inflation data. NZD/USD holds positive ground above 0.6100 after strong New Zealand Q4 labor market data, suggesting potential further Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy tightening. USD/JPY sees modest gains above 148.00 amid dovish BoJ comments, while the Japanese Yen struggles amid declining real wages and household spending.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Drifts Higher To 1.2630 On Weaker USD, UK Higher House Prices.

The GBP/USD pair gained traction during the early Asian session on Thursday. The uptick in the major pair is bolstered by rising house prices in the UK, which supported bets that the Bank of England was not likely to cut interest rates soon. GBP/USD benefited from the improving risk mood on Tuesday and gained 0.5%, erasing a large portion of Monday's losses in the process. Early Wednesday, the pair trades marginally higher on the day above 1.2600. Market participants will keep an eye on risk perception mid-week. According to the latest news, Qatar, acting as a mediator, said that Hamas had given a "generally positive" response to a proposed truce deal with Israel.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.2645 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2664 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2640 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.2655 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2678 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2675 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 46.6354 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 38.9323 | Sell Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806
• S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2658 | Take Profit: 1.2558 | Stop Loss: 1.2727

AUD/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD.

Introduction

GBP/USD steadies above 1.2600, showing resilience despite a softer USD. The pair struggles to extend gains from the 1.2570 region, maintaining a narrow range in early European trading. While upbeat US labor market figures lifted the Greenback, the Bank of England's stance on delaying rate cuts may limit further losses. EUR/USD faces resistance near 1.0800 and the 100-day SMA, maintaining a struggle to break through. The pair hovers around 1.0770, influenced by a late loss of USD momentum and comments from ECB's Robert Holzmann. AUD/USD trades near 0.6500 after RBA Bullock's testimony, facing limited upside amid cautious market sentiment. USD/CAD rebounds near 1.3460 on lower crude prices and market caution amid Middle East tensions.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Holds Steady Above 1.2600, Bulls Seem Non-Committed Despite A Softer USD.

The GBP/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish bounce of around 50 pips from the 1.2570 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the early European trading hours on Friday. Spot prices trade near the top end of the weekly range, around the 1.2620 area. On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair declined towards the 1.2615 level showing slight losses with upbeat US labor market figures benefiting the Greenback with Jobless claims from the week ending on February 3 coming in lower than expected. However, the Bank of England (BoE) holds a somewhat similar stance as the Federal Reserve (Fed) in delaying rate cuts so the losses may be limited.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.2637 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2658 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2638 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.2645 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2671 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2673 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 44.8720 | Neutral Zone | Neutral

Stochastic Oscillator : 38.8021 | Sell Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806
• S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2632 | Take Profit: 1.2566 | Stop Loss: 1.2682

EUR/USD

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Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/EUR steady, AUD/USD, USD/JPY volatile.

Introduction

GBP/USD remains resilient above 1.2600 as the US Dollar struggles to gain strength amid lower-than-expected CPI revisions. After briefly dipping below 1.2600 on Thursday, the pair stabilized, influenced by hawkish Bank of England comments and improved risk sentiment. Meanwhile, EUR/USD inches higher near 1.0800 after US CPI revisions, maintaining a sideways trend. The Australian Dollar hovers around 0.6500, supported by RBA Governor Bullock's commitment to managing inflation. USD/JPY approaches 150.00 as the focus shifts to US inflation data, with Fed policymakers maintaining a hawkish stance.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Holds Above 1.2600 As USD Fails To Gather Strength.

GBP/USD continued to fluctuate above 1.2600 on Friday as the US Dollar found it difficult to stay resilient against its major rivals. The data from the US showed that the monthly CPI increase for December was revised lower to 0.2% from 0.3%. GBP/USD declined below 1.2600 on Thursday but managed to stabilize above that level early Friday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the risk perception could impact the US Dollar's (USD) valuation. The USD benefited from recovering US Treasury bond yields on Thursday and weighed on GBP/USD. Hawkish remarks from Bank of England (BoE) officials and the modest improvement seen in risk mood, however, helped the pair erase its losses.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.2639 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2659 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2638 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.2646 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.2671 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2673 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 46.0589 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 40.2344 | Neutral Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806
• S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2643 | Take Profit: 1.2516 | Stop Loss: 1.2731

EUR/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – Forex markets await key events amid speculation.

Introduction

The EUR/USD pair hovers around 1.0800, with attention on the ZEW survey and US CPI data. ECB's Panetta hints at a potential rate cut, while the Fed considers economic data before adjusting rates. Meanwhile, GBP/USD sees modest gains, and the US Dollar struggles amid uncertainty. The Australian Dollar strengthens on risk-on sentiment, and the Japanese Yen remains subdued post-national holiday, influenced by BoJ's dovish remarks. Traders await key US inflation figures.

Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD

EUR/USD Gains Ground Near 1.0800, ZEW Survey, US CPI Data Eyed.

EUR/USD holds positive ground around 1.0795 on the consolidation of USD.ECB's Panetta said the moment is fast approaching for the ECB to cut rates, gradual steps might help to mitigate the volatility on markets. Many Fed officials agreed that the FOMC may review further economic data before lowering interest rates. The EUR/USD pair attracts some buyers near 1.0800 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. Despite the lack of major US data releases last week, many Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers will provide insight into the interest rate outlook later this week. The US inflation and Retail Sales for January will be the highlights this week. At press time, the major pair is trading at 1.0795, gaining 0.07% on the day.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.0797 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0829 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0855 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.0794 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 20 : 1.0831 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.0893 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 42.4182 | Neutral Zone | Neutral

Stochastic Oscillator : 29.6279 | Sell Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041
• S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell

Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0804 | Take Profit: 1.0732 | Stop Loss: 1.0854

GBP/USD

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Daily FX Analysis – GBP up, EUR down, USD rebounds.

Introduction

GBP/USD remains steady above 1.2600, propelled by favorable UK labor market data, including a drop in the ILO Unemployment Rate to 3.8%. While the market maintains an optimistic stance, attention shifts to the US inflation report, anticipating potential impacts on the Federal Reserve's decisions. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces a bearish outlook, hovering below key levels, with a focus on US CPI data. USD/CAD breaks a five-day decline on market caution ahead of US inflation data, and NZD/USD declines on lower Kiwi Inflation Expectations in Q1.

Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD

GBP/USD Holds Comfortably Above 1.2600 After UK Labor Market Data.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.2650 in the European morning on Tuesday. The data from the UK showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate declined to 3.8% in December, while the annual wage inflation softened to 6.2% from 6.7%. An upbeat market mood is sponsoring a leg-up on the major, though it remains within familiar levels. Market participants are eyeing an inflation report in the United States (US) which is expected to fuel speculations for rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Regarding monetary policy, the BoE is expected to slash rates by 80 basis points through 2024, less than the 110 bps at the beginning of the last week.

Technical Overview With Chart :

Moving Averages :

Exponential :

• MA 10 : 1.2638 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.2655 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2638 | Positive Crossover | Bullish

Simple :

• MA 10 : 1.2633 | Positive Crossover | Bullish
• MA 20 : 1.2667 | Negative Crossover | Bearish
• MA 50 : 1.2674 | Negative Crossover | Bearish

RSI (Relative Strength Index): 48.2925 | Buy Zone | Bullish

Stochastic Oscillator : 44.3336 | Neutral Zone | Positive

Resistance And Support Levels :

• R1 : 1.2763 R2 : 1.2807
• S1 : 1.2618 S2 : 1.2574

Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy

Trade Suggestion: Stop Buy: 1.2648 | Take Profit: 1.2719 | Stop Loss: 1.2605

EUR/USD

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