Currency Pairs Market Analysis

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EURUSD Tests the Moving Average​

The EURUSD pair continues to provide weak trades around the EMA50, noticing that stochastic attempts to provide positive signals, waiting to motivate the price to resume the bullish wave that targets 1.1030 as a next station.

Therefore, the positive scenario will remain active as long as 1.0845 level remains intact, reminding you that breaking this level will put the price under intraday pressure to test 1.0745 areas before any new attempt to rise. The expected trading range for today is between 1.0800 support and 1.0960 resistance.​

 

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GBPUSD Needs Strong Positive Motive​

The GBPUSD pair fluctuates within tight track since last Friday, settling above the EMA50 that forms good intraday support against the price, to keep our bullish overview that its targets start by breaching 1.2440 to open the way to head towards 1.2595.

On the other hand, we should note that breaking 1.2320 will push the price to achieve some intraday bearish correction before turning back to resume the main bullish trend again. The expected trading range for today is between 1.2320 support and 1.2485 resistance.​

 

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EURJPY Begins to Decline​

The EURJPY pair surrendered to the frequent negative pressures to form new bearish waves and reach 140.55, approaching the first waited target.

Note that the moving average 55 crawl towards 141.80 and forming additional barrier will increase the speed of the bearish track, to expect crawling towards 139.80 soon, followed by repeating the pressure on the additional support 138.20. The expected trading range for today is between 141.35 and 139.80.​

 

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GBPCAD holds above the support​

The GBPCAD pair confirmed keeping the bullish attempts by providing new positive close above the minor bullish channel’s support line at 1.6470, to manage to renew the bullish rally and settle near 1.6555.

Now, stochastic attempt to provide the positive momentum allows us to suggest more positive attempts, to target 1.6680 level soon, while surpassing it will push the price to reach the additional stations at 1.6800 and 1.6930 levels. The expected trading range for today is between 1.6490 and 1.6680.​

 

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NZDUSD Breaks the Support​

The NZDUSD pair broke the bullish channel’s support line clearly and turns to decline on the intraday basis, targeting visiting 0.6365 followed by 0.6275 levels as main negative targets.

Therefore, the bearish bias will be expected for today, and breaking 0.6430 will ease the mission of achieving the suggested targets, noting that breaching 0.6510 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to resume the main bullish track again. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6370 support and 0.6500 resistance.​

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis​

The GBPUSD pair trades negatively to break 1.2320 and attempts to hold below it, which urges caution from the upcoming trading and makes us prefer to stay aside until the price confirms its situation according to this level, as confirming the break will push the price to achieve bearish correction that its targets begin by testing 1.2155 and extend to 1.1940, while consolidating above it will reactivate the positive scenario that its targets begin by testing 1.2440.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.2250 support and 1.2400 resistance.​

 

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GBPCHF Begins to Decline​

The GBPCHF pair surrendered to the domination of the bearish bias by providing new negative close below 1.1480 resistance and start forming new negative waves by reaching 1.1280.

The negative stability below the moving average 55 and stochastic additional negative momentum signals confirm the continuation of the negativity, to expect suffering additional losses soon by targeting 1.1210 followed by repeating the pressure on the additional support 1.1105. The expected trading range for today is between 1.1340 and 1.1210.​

 

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USDCHF Declines Again​

The USDCHF pair couldn’t hold for long time above 0.9240 level, to trade with strong negativity and reach 0.9160 level now, which puts the price under expected additional negative pressure in the upcoming period, targeting visiting the recently recorded low at 0.9085 as a next negative station.

Therefore, the bearish bias will be expected for today unless breaching 0.9240 and holding above it. The expected trading range for today is between 0.9085 support and 0.9210 resistance.​

 

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NZDUSD Still Negative​

The NZDUSD pair settles below the EMA50 that forms negative pressure against the price, to keep the bearish trend active, waiting to head towards 0.6365 as a first target. Stochastic provides negative signals that support the expected decline, reminding you that the continuation of the bearish wave depends on the price stability below 0.6510.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.6370 support and 0.6480 resistance.​

 

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EURGBP Continues to Rise ​

The EURGBP pair succeeded to resume the bullish attack to surpass 0.8870 level and provide positive close above it as appears on the chart, to record some additional gains by touching 0.8900 level.

Note that the main stability within the bullish channel and the major indicators attempt to provide the additional positive momentum support the positive attempts for the near term and medium term period, to keep waiting to achieve new gains that might start at 0.8925 and 0.8970. The expected trading range for today is between 0.8870 and 0.8970.​

 

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EURUSD Hits the Target​

The EURUSD pair rallied upwards strongly to succeed achieving our waited target at 1.1030, moving within major bullish channel that supports the chances of achieving more rise in the upcoming period, noting that breaching the mentioned level will extend the bullish wave to reach 1.1185 areas.

Therefore, the bullish trend scenario will remain suggested on the intraday and short term basis, noting that failing to breach 1.1030 might force the price to rebound bearishly and achieve some intraday bearish correction before turning back to rise again. The expected trading range for today is between 1.0950 support and 1.1110 resistance.​

 

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EURJPY Fluctuates Below the Barrier​

The EURJPY pair repeated the weak sideways trades to settle below the additional barrier 142, which allows us to keep the bearish overview, reminding you that it is important to gather the negative momentum to ease the mission of declining towards the initial negative stations represented by 140.80 and 140.25.

The expected trading range for today is between 142.00 and 140.25.​

 

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AUDUSD Under the Negative Pressure​

The AUDUSD pair found solid resistance around 0.7150 level, to rebound downwards clearly and head towards potential visit to the bullish channel’s support line, located now around 0.6920.

Therefore, the bearish bias will be expected for today, supported by moving below the EMA50, taking into consideration that breaching 0.7090 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to resume the main bullish wave. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6980 support and 0.7100 resistance.​

 

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USDJPY consolidates below the resistance​

The USDJPY pair settles below the resistance line formed at 128.90, noticing that stochastic loses its positive momentum clearly, while the EMA50 forms negative pressure against the price.

Therefore, these factors encourage us to continue suggesting the bearish trend that its next target located at 127.15, reminding you that it is important to hold below 128.90 to achieve the waited targets. The expected trading range for today is between 127.60 support and 129.20 resistance.​

 

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EURJPY Technical Analysis​

The EURJPY pair started to form new correctional bullish wave to surpass the additional barrier 141.75 and notice recording some gains by touching 142.85 level.

Continuing to consolidate above the breached barrier reinforces the chances of renewing the correctional attempts for now, to expect targeting 143.60 and 144.00 levels, while gathering the additional negative momentum and crawling below 141.75 will activate the bearish track again, to increase the chances of crawling towards 141.10 followed by repeating the pressure on 140.25 obstacle.

The expected trading range for today is between 141.75 and 143.60.​

 

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EURUSD Heads Towards the Second Target​

The EURUSD pair broke 1.0830 level strongly to open the way to achieve more decline on the intraday basis, targeting testing 1.0745 as a next negative station, to keep the bearish bias dominant in the upcoming sessions.

It is important to monitor the price when reaching the suggested target, as breaking it will push the price to achieve more decline that its next target reaches 1.0635, taking into consideration that breaching 1.0865 will stop the current negative pressure and lead the price to regain the main bullish trend again.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.0695 support and 1.0865 resistance.​

 

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AUDUSD Hits the Target​

The AUDUSD pair managed to achieve our waited target at 0.6920 and settles around it now, settling below the bullish channel’s support line to fall under more correctional pressure in the upcoming sessions, targeting visiting 0.6780 areas as a next main station.

Therefore, the bearish bias will remain suggested in the upcoming sessions, taking into consideration that breaching 0.6945 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to return to the main bullish track again.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.6850 support and 0.6980 resistance​

 

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GBPUSD Crawls Downwards​

The GBPUSD pair approach 1.2000 barrier, showing tight sideways trades now, noticing that stochastic loses its positive momentum gradually, waiting to motivate the price to resume the bearish bias that targets testing 1.1940 level as a next station.

Therefore, the bearish trend scenario will remain valid and active conditioned by the price stability below 1.2115. The expected trading range for today is between 1.1950 support and 1.2100 resistance.​

 

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NZDUSD Faces Solid Support​

The NZDUSD pair found solid support at 0.6290, to show some slight bullish bias and begins attempts to build bullish wave, but it loses the positive momentum clearly, which might force the price to decline again and attack the mentioned level in attempt to achieve more bearish correction.

Therefore, we prefer to stay aside until we get clearer signal for the next trend, noting that breaking the mentioned support will push the price to head towards 0.6210 followed by 0.6140 levels as next negative targets, while breaching 0.6365 represents positive factor that will lead the price to recover and achieve gains that start at 0.6445. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6260 support and 0.6380 resistance.​

 

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USDCAD​

USDCAD has been trading in a descending triangle pattern since October 2022. The pair failed to break above the resistance zone ranging below the 1.3500 area yesterday and can be seen pulling back today. USDCAD is expected to get more volatile later today as traders will be offered comments from both - Fed Chair Powell (5:40 pm GMT) and BoC Governor Macklem (5:45pm GMT).

Solid jobs data led some to believe that the Fed may switch back to a 50 bp rate hike at its next meeting and Powell's comments will be key in shaping expectations further. Macklem will deliver a speech titled "How monetary policy works" at CFA Society Quebec. Speech will surely touch on the topic of monetary policy as the title implies. More importantly, Macklem will answer reporters' questions afterwards at 7:00 pm GMT and it could be a chance for more details on the current policy outlook.

USDCAD is trading around 1% below upper limit of the triangle pattern and around 1.2% above the lower limit. While today's speeches from BoC and Fed heads may not lead to an immediate breakout, they could set the tone for the coming days, which may lead to a breakout. A textbook range of the breakout from the pattern in either direction is 720 pips.​