Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

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EURUSD Technical Analysis for Today's Trading Signals

EUR USD, known in forex trading as the "Fiber," represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar and is one of the most traded currency pairs globally. The Fiber often reflects market sentiment towards the European and U.S. economies. Today's upcoming news includes crucial data releases: U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts, Import Price Index, Capacity Utilization Rate, and Industrial Production. Positive outcomes in these metrics, particularly Building Permits and Industrial Production, could strengthen the USD, potentially causing downward pressure on EURUSD. On the other side, Eurozone releases including Trade Balance and ZEW Economic Sentiment may impact the Euro positively if outcomes exceed forecasts, promoting upward momentum in EUR-USD. Traders should monitor these indicators closely for price action signals.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided EUR/USD H4 chart reveals that the price has decisively broken through a significant resistance line, indicating strong bullish momentum. However, the price currently faces resistance at the horizontal line and the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential short-term correction or pullback. Technical indicators like the Bollinger Bands hint at possible corrective moves downwards towards the supporting ascending trendline and subsequently to the middle Bollinger Band, providing dynamic support around this zone. Should selling pressure persist, a deeper retracement to the lower Bollinger Band and key support at 1.05194 may occur. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator is entering an overbought territory, signaling a potential bearish reversal or consolidation soon. Concurrently, the MACD histogram shows decreasing bullish momentum, corroborating the possibility of an imminent correction. Traders are advised to observe price action near these technical levels for confirmation.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

AUD/USD Price Action Breakout Analysis

The AUD USD, known popularly as the "Aussie," is a major forex pair representing the Australian dollar against the US dollar. It is favored by traders for its strong correlation to commodity prices and market sentiment. Today, fundamental factors for AUD-USD include the Melbourne Institute (MI) Westpac Leading Index from Australia, with higher-than-forecast results likely supporting the Australian dollar. On the US side, traders will closely monitor crude oil inventories from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Fed Interest Rate decisions, the FOMC statement, economic projections, and the Fed Chair's press conference, all of which can heavily influence USD strength. A hawkish stance or reduced crude inventories could boost the USD, creating volatility in the AUD vs USD pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD-USD H4 chart, the price action has clearly broken through the resistance zone at 0.63553 and recently retested this level as support. This pullback indicates a possible continuation upward if the price can sustain above this critical zone. Should the price fail to hold above this newly established support, it could retrace down towards the ascending trendline and further to the key support level at 0.63318. The Stochastic oscillator shows decreasing bullish momentum and is trending downward, indicating potential short-term bearish pressure. Additionally, the MACD indicator suggests bearish sentiment, as it has recently produced a bearish crossover, signaling potential downward price action in the immediate short-term.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

GBPUSD H4 Price Action Outlook

BPUSD, often called “Cable,” remains one of the most actively traded currency pairs in Forex markets as it bridges the British Pound and the US Dollar in global trade. Today’s GBP USD fundamental analysis focuses on upcoming S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI data releases for both the UK and the US, alongside a speech from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, as well as remarks by Federal Reserve officials Raphael Bostic and Michael Barr. These events can significantly influence GBP-USD price action by shaping interest rate expectations and economic sentiment, so traders will be watching closely to gauge any hawkish or dovish tones that may either strengthen or weaken the pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GBPUSD H4 chart, the price has entered the Ichimoku cloud and is pressing toward its lower boundary, which has thinned recently. The pair has just dropped below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating potential bearish momentum if it continues through the cloud’s lower band. Should it break lower, the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels lie ahead as interim supports, with the 0.618 level acting as a stronger barrier. Beyond that, the 0.786 retracement could provide the next solid support zone. Meanwhile, both MACD and RSI on this GBP/USD daily chart technical analysis suggest a continuation of the current downtrend, highlighting the possibility of further price action to the downside in the short term.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

SILVERUSD Daily Price Action and Divergence Analysis

The SILVERUSD pair, commonly known as "Silver Spot" or "XAGUSD," reflects the value of silver measured against the US Dollar, crucial for traders interested in precious metals and forex markets. Today, fundamental factors influencing SILVERUSD include significant speeches by FOMC members, such as Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler and New York Fed President John Williams, whose remarks about interest rates and the economic outlook can cause volatility. Housing market data releases, including the S&P Case-Shiller and FHFA Home Price Indices, as well as New Home Sales and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, will further influence the USD and indirectly affect SILVERUSD by altering investor sentiment and economic forecasts.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technical analysis of the SILVERUSD H4 chart reveals that price action has broken below its upward trendline, reaching a critical support zone. If this support level holds firmly, it could lead the price back upwards toward a potential target at 34.110. Conversely, failing to sustain above this support may drive SILVERUSD further downward, testing the next support level at 32.099. The RSI indicator displays a bearish divergence, suggesting weakening upward momentum, while the stochastic oscillator is approaching an oversold area, signaling a potential rebound. The MACD indicator illustrates bearish momentum that appears to be slowing, possibly indicating a forthcoming reversal. Moreover, the last five Parabolic SAR points are below the price, signaling short-term bullish support.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USDCHF H4 Fundamental and Price Action Insights

The USDCHF currency pair, often nicknamed the "Swissie," represents the US Dollar against the Swiss Franc and is a popular pair among forex traders due to its stability and safe-haven characteristics. In today’s market outlook, the focus is on USDCHF fundamental and technical setups, integrating core elements from the EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis to gain deeper price action insights. From a fundamental perspective, today's economic calendar is packed with high-impact events, notably the US Core Durable Goods Orders and Durable Goods Orders, both of which are expected to show weakness compared to previous readings, possibly increasing downside pressure on the US Dollar. Furthermore, speeches from FOMC members Kashkari and Musalem could inject volatility, especially if they hint at future rate policy changes. On the Swiss side, traders will keep an eye on the SNB Quarterly Bulletin and UBS Economic Expectations, which may boost the Franc if the tone remains cautious or dovish. In the context of EURCHF analysis, increased safe-haven demand for CHF may spill over into USDCHF, further supporting a bearish outlook.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically analyzing the USDCHF H4 chart, the pair has been riding a bearish wave and currently trades below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a dominant downtrend. The price action is now approaching the cloud once again, indicating a potential retest phase which could either lead to a rejection or a reversal. The RSI indicator reveals bearish divergence, suggesting momentum is weakening despite minor upward moves, strengthening the bearish case. This setup presents sellers with a promising opportunity to consider short positions, particularly if price gets rejected from the lower edge of the cloud. This aligns well with overall bearish sentiment observed in EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, enhancing the probability of further downside in USDCHF price action.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

Bearish Momentum Builds On ND100_NASDAQ

ND100_NASDAQ, commonly referred to by traders as “NQ,” is a premier benchmark for US technology stocks, reflecting market sentiment toward major tech giants. With a series of high-impact US economic events on the horizon, including speeches by US President Donald Trump about auto tariffs, quarterly GDP figures, Jobless Claims, and other key data points such as Trade in Goods and Pending Home Sales, the ND100_NASDAQ daily chart technical and fundamental analysis is poised for heightened volatility. Investors will be closely monitoring how these announcements shape risk appetite and price action, as GDP and labor-market indicators can significantly shift market sentiment, while any unexpected policy comments from the White House could further influence the overall outlook for this tech-heavy index.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the ND100_NASDAQ H4 chart, the last seven candles have been decisively bearish, all printing in red and pushing the price action down to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This move appears to be breaking below that Fib support and heading toward the 0 Fib area, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud. Although the candles remain above the cloud for now, the current bearish momentum is driving them closer to a potential retest of this zone, signaling a possible trend shift. Both the MACD and RSI also reflect weakening momentum, reinforcing the bearish tone in the ND100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

BTCUSD Market Reaction to USD Data

Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” is the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and its pairing with the US dollar (BTCUSD) remains a pivotal benchmark in both cryptocurrency and forex markets. With several major US economic events scheduled today—including Federal Reserve speeches by Thomas Barkin, Michael Barr, and Raphael Bostic, as well as key data releases such as the Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income, and Personal Spending—the US dollar may experience notable volatility that could influence BTCUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. Hawkish signals regarding interest rates, or shifts in inflation and consumer spending, may drive significant price action in this cryptocurrency pair as traders weigh the potential for tighter monetary policy and broader market sentiment.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
n the BTCUSD H4 chart, the price is exhibiting slightly bullish momentum, moving above the Ichimoku cloud between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and heading toward the 0.618 level, which could serve as the first resistance. A stronger resistance appears at the 0.5 Fib level, while the green Ichimoku cloud’s upper and lower boundaries are moving horizontally, suggesting caution. Meanwhile, MACD and RSI indicators point to ongoing bullish potential, though traders should monitor any break above these resistance zones to confirm further upward price action in BTCUSD daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

UK100 Technical Analysis Before Breakout

The UK100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100 Index or simply the "Footsie", represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market capitalization. It serves as a key benchmark for the performance of major UK equities and is often influenced by both domestic economic indicators and global market trends. In today's fundamental outlook, attention turns to three key economic metrics released by the Bank of England: money supply, mortgage approvals, and consumer credit. All three are forward-looking indicators tied closely to consumer and business confidence. If today's figures surpass expectations, it would suggest improved economic momentum, supporting the GBP and potentially fueling further upside in the FTSE 100 through stronger corporate earnings expectations. However, any disappointment in these data points may pressure sentiment and dampen near-term price action on the UK100 daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the UK100 H4 chart reveals a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation following an earlier bullish move. Currently, the price is hovering near the ascending trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce—especially if it holds. A breakout above the descending resistance line could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend. The Parabolic SAR shows the last four dots forming below the candles, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) sits at around 45.71, showing a neutral to slightly bearish stance, yet not oversold, leaving room for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a slight bearish crossover, indicating weakened momentum but not an aggressive downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction around the triangle's lower trendline and watch for a breakout confirmation in either direction on this UK100 H4 price action setup.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis

The USDJPY forex pair, often referred to as the “Gopher” in trading circles, is a major currency pair representing the US dollar (USD) versus the Japanese yen (JPY). Known for its high liquidity and sensitivity to monetary policy and geopolitical developments, this pair offers rich opportunities for both technical and fundamental traders. Fundamentally, the USD-JPY is in focus today as markets await key comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin, which could shed light on future US interest rate moves. His tone—whether hawkish or dovish—may significantly impact the dollar. On the Japanese side, economic data like the Jobless Rate and the Tankan survey suggest subdued employment concerns but mixed industrial sentiment. While Japan's Tankan index indicates potential stagnation in manufacturing and services, upcoming US data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, and Consumer Confidence are expected to underscore a resilient US economy. Overall, expectations of stronger US macro data and possible hawkish Fed rhetoric give the greenback a fundamental edge in today’s USD JPY outlook, favoring a bullish bias unless data disappoints sharply.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the USD/JPY 4-hour chart shows a complex battle between bullish and bearish forces. The pair is gradually breaking downtrend lines one by one, and only one major descending trendline remains to be cleared for a full bullish breakout confirmation. Although the price recently dipped below a key support zone and pulled back—suggesting a potential bearish continuation—the bounce strongly hints at a BOF (Breakout Failure), which aligns with the emergence of a possible bullish trend. This idea is supported by bullish divergence on the RSI, where price made lower lows while RSI printed higher lows, indicating waning bearish momentum. RSI is hovering near 50, signaling neutrality with potential for upward momentum. The MACD histogram is shrinking its bearish bars, and lines are close to a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward scenario. Meanwhile, the Parabolic SAR still prints above the candles, indicating short-term bearish bias, but this can flip quickly if momentum continues. Watch for a breakout above the final trendline for confirmation of a sustained uptrend continuation in the USDJPY daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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