Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

EURCHF Technical Outlook on H4 Chart

The EURCHF forex pair, often referred to by traders as the "Swissy," is a popular pair in the Forex market, representing the euro against the Swiss franc. It is known for its stability and is often traded during times of economic uncertainty due to Switzerland's safe-haven status. As of today, the EUR/CHF is in focus due to upcoming economic releases from both the Eurozone and Switzerland. The German Final CPI is expected to remain at 0.3%, which could have a minimal impact on the euro. Additionally, the Italian Trade Balance is expected to show a surplus of 5.55B, which might lend some support to the euro. On the Swiss side, the SECO Consumer Climate index is forecasted at -36, indicating continued pessimism among Swiss consumers, which could weigh on the Swiss franc. Overall, with these low-impact events, the EUR/CHF might not see significant volatility unless the data significantly deviates from expectations.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h.
Looking at the H4 chart of EUR/CHF, the price recently shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, as evidenced by the movement from the lower Bollinger Band to the upper band. The pair has shown a strong recovery with the last four candles being green and bullish, supported by an increase in green volume bars. The MACD histogram and lines also suggest strengthening bullish momentum. The price is currently situated between the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating that the pair may be testing a key resistance area. If the price manages to break above the 0.382 Fibonacci level, further bullish movement could be anticipated. However, a failure to break this resistance could lead to a consolidation or even a minor pullback.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore​

 

[Capitalcore]

USDCAD H4 Chart Bearish Momentum Continues

The USDCAD currency pair, often referred to by its nickname "Loonie," represents the exchange rate between the US Dollar (USD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The USDCAD pair is highly sensitive to economic data releases and global oil prices, given Canada's significant oil exports. Today, the market's attention is on several low-impact economic indicators, including Canada's Building Permits data and the US Cleveland Fed Inflation Expectations, alongside the US Federal Budget Balance. Although these indicators are not expected to cause major volatility, they provide insights into the economic outlook of both countries. For instance, an increase in Canadian building permits could signal future economic activity, potentially offering some support to the CAD. Meanwhile, the USD will be influenced by inflation expectations and the federal budget, which may impact market sentiment if the figures deviate significantly from expectations.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USDCAD H4 chart, the price has been trending downward, confined within a bearish channel. Out of the last 20 candles, only 6 have been bullish, indicating persistent selling pressure. The price is moving within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, specifically between the lower band and the middle band, suggesting that the bearish momentum remains strong. Additionally, the USD/CAD price is currently oscillating between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, highlighting potential support and resistance zones. The MACD histogram is showing bearish signals, with the MACD line staying below the signal line, further confirming the ongoing bearish trend. This combination of technical indicators suggests that the USDCAD might continue its downward trajectory unless significant fundamental changes occur.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Potential Impact of Economic Data on EURUSD

The EUR/USD pair, commonly referred to as the "Fiber" in forex trading circles, is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world. This pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the U.S. dollar, reflecting the economic dynamics between the Eurozone and the United States. Observations from the latest H4 chart indicate that the EUR/USD may be poised for a bullish phase following a correction period, suggesting a strong potential for upward movement in the near term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h.
Upon closer examination of the price action, we can see that this pair has been consolidating within a descending triangle pattern, characterized by a clear resistance around the 1.0950 level and solid support at 1.0900. This pattern typically signals accumulation in technical analysis, where the price action tightens as the market prepares for a potential breakout. The recent behavior of the EUR/USD suggests that traders are possibly gearing up for a move higher, supported by increasing bullish momentum. The MACD indicator further underscores this perspective, with a bullish divergence emerging as the MACD line ascends toward the signal line, indicating growing strength in buying activity. Moreover, the RSI remains robust, positioned above 50 and trending higher, which highlights the persistence of bullish sentiment among traders. This combination of technical signals—particularly the bullish MACD divergence and the strong RSI—strongly points toward a forthcoming bullish breakout. Traders should monitor the 1.0950 resistance level closely; a convincing break above this could open the path to higher resistance levels, affirming the ongoing bullish trend in the EUR/USD market.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Navigating GBP/USD with Technical Indicators

The GBP/USD forex pair, often referred to as "Cable," is a significant currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the British pound sterling and the US dollar. Today, traders are closely monitoring a series of economic data releases from the UK, including GDP, trade balance, and manufacturing production figures. These indicators will provide insights into the UK's economic health, with higher-than-expected figures likely to bolster the pound, especially in light of ongoing concerns about the strength of the US dollar due to mixed economic signals from the US, including retail sales and jobless claims data.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of GBP/USD pair reveals a complex technical scenario. The pair is currently navigating within a rising channel, though recent price action has seen a retracement from the upper Bollinger Band towards the middle band. This correction is evident after a sequence of five consecutive bearish candles. Despite this pullback, the price remains in an overall bullish trend, trading above key Fibonacci retracement levels between 0.618 (1.28790) and 0.5 (1.28292), which are acting as crucial support and resistance. The MACD histogram is showing signs of weakening momentum, but as long as the price stays within the rising channel and above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a break below the lower channel line could signal a potential shift in market sentiment.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

NZDUSD Technical Outlook Amid Upcoming US Data

The NZD/USD, often referred to as the "Kiwi," represents the currency pair of the New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar. The Kiwi is known for its correlation with commodities, especially dairy products, and is influenced by interest rate differentials between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). With upcoming significant economic data from both New Zealand and the US, including the US Treasury International Capital (TIC) report, US residential building permits, and speeches from central bank officials, the NZD/USD pair may experience heightened volatility. Traders should particularly focus on the RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr's speech and the US economic indicators, as better-than-expected data from the US could strengthen the US Dollar, pressuring the NZD/USD lower. Conversely, any hints of future monetary policy shifts from the RBNZ could support the Kiwi, making the pair more attractive.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h
Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, it's clear that after a bullish trend over the past two weeks, the pair is currently struggling to maintain its upward momentum. The price is moving along the lower line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating potential bearish pressure, especially as the last 10 candles have shown a predominant bearish trend with 7 out of 10 being bearish. The price has retraced from the upper band down to the middle band and is now hovering between the lower and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands widening slightly—a sign of increasing volatility. The MACD and histogram are also signaling bearish momentum, supported by the higher volume of red candles. Additionally, the price is trading between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential break below these levels could signal further downside. Traders should watch for a clear break below the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate a continuation of the bearish trend.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EURUSD H4 Technical Review Key Indicators and Price Action

The EUR/USD, often referred to as the "Fiber," is a highly traded currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. It is one of the most liquid pairs in the forex market, known for its tight spreads and significant volatility during economic data releases. Today, market participants are keenly observing the upcoming remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and the release of the Leading Indicators from the Conference Board, both of which could provide crucial insights into the direction of U.S. monetary policy. If Waller's remarks lean hawkish, we might see strength in the USD, which could weigh on the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, stronger-than-expected Leading Indicators could further bolster the dollar, adding downward pressure on the pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles' time-frame is 4h.
In the H4 chart of EUR/USD, the price is currently in a bullish trend, moving upward from the middle Bollinger Band towards the upper band, demonstrating strong upward momentum with 6 out of the last 10 candles being bullish. The price is navigating between the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the 0.0 level, indicating potential resistance ahead. The RSI indicator, which is hovering around 66, suggests that the pair is nearing overbought conditions but still has some room for upward movement before it hits significant resistance.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by "Capitalcore LLC". This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EUR/GBP Analysis: The “Chunnel” in Focus

The EUR/GBP pair, often referred to as the “Chunnel” due to its connection between Europe and the UK, is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern, signaling potential bearish momentum ahead. The price is hovering near the lower boundary of this triangle, which often serves as a crucial support level. The MACD indicator is showing signs of weakening momentum, with the histogram close to crossing into negative territory, suggesting that a bearish wave may be imminent. Additionally, the RSI is reacting to the 50 level, a critical point that often determines the next directional move. With the RSI showing potential to descend, the outlook for the EUR/GBP could lean bearish in the near term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Given this technical setup, traders should be cautious of a possible breakdown below the triangle’s support, which could lead to a significant decline in the EUR/GBP pair. This scenario would align with the broader bearish outlook indicated by both the MACD and RSI. As the pair navigates this critical juncture, those looking for “EUR/GBP price analysis,” “EUR/GBP prediction,” and “EUR/GBP price action” should monitor these key levels closely, as they may provide early signals of the next major move in this pair.


DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Bullish Momentum in EURUSD: Ichimoku Cloud and MACD Analysis

The EUR/USD forex pair, commonly referred to as "Fiber," is a major forex pair that captures the exchange rate between the Euro and the U.S. Dollar. It is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, known for its liquidity and relatively tight spreads. As the economic calendar for today unfolds, key data releases, particularly from the U.S. and U.K., are poised to impact the pair’s forecast today. The EUR/USD fundamental analysis today is driven by a series of economic indicators. The U.S. is set to release data such as Jobless Claims and PMI figures, which are vital for gauging the health of the U.S. economy. Better-than-expected Jobless Claims numbers could strengthen the USD, putting downward pressure on the EUR/USD. On the other hand, the PMI data from both the U.S. and Europe will provide insights into the manufacturing and service sectors' performance. For the Eurozone, weaker-than-expected PMI numbers could further depreciate the Euro, enhancing the Fiber’s bearish outlook. Additionally, the U.K.'s economic data, particularly the PMI and CBI Industrial Trends Survey, will indirectly influence the pair by affecting overall market risk sentiment.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the EUR/USD H4 chart, we observe the pair’s strong bullish momentum, as indicated by its price action residing within an ascending channel. The Ichimoku Cloud supports this bullish trend, with the price action above the cloud, signaling strong upward momentum. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are in a bullish alignment, further affirming the uptrend. Moreover, the MACD indicator shows bullish momentum, with the MACD line above the signal line and increasing positive histogram bars. Key resistance levels are noted around 1.1149 and 1.1151, while support levels are found near 1.1084 and 1.1071. A sustained break above the upper resistance could pave the way for further gains, while a failure to maintain this level might lead to a correction towards the support zones.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

GBPUSD H4: Bullish Momentum Above Ichimoku Cloud

The GBPUSD currency pair, commonly known as "Cable," is one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). Today, the market faces potential low liquidity due to the UK banks' closure in observance of the Summer Bank Holiday, possibly resulting in irregular volatility. On the other hand, the United States is set to release its Durable Goods Orders report, which could significantly influence the USD if the actual figures differ from forecasts, as higher-than-expected orders typically indicate increased manufacturing activity and economic strength.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBPUSD H4 chart indicates a strong bullish trend, supported by multiple positive candles, with 8 out of the last 10 candles showing upward movement. The price is currently above the Ichimoku cloud, a sign of bullish momentum, and is situated between the 0.5 (1.30380) and 0.618 (1.32266) Fibonacci retracement levels. The recent price action shows a steady climb within a rising channel, highlighting the strength of this uptrend. The RSI is trending in the overbought region, around 81.44, suggesting strong buying interest, but also indicating potential for a short-term correction if profit-taking occurs. If the price manages to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, it could aim for the next resistance around the 0.786 Fibonacci level, at approximately 1.34951.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Gold (XAU/USD) H4 Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

Gold, often referred to by its trading symbol XAU/USD, has recently surged to a new all-time high (ATH), capturing the attention of traders and investors worldwide. The H4 chart reveals an ascending triangle pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting potential for further upward movement. However, the price is currently testing the upper resistance line of this triangle around the $2,517 level, indicating a critical point where the market may decide on its next direction.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is positioned near 59, showing that the market is not yet overbought, providing room for further bullish action. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) histogram is positive, with the MACD line trending above the signal line, both signs of sustained bullish momentum. The upcoming economic data releases today could influence gold’s price action, with traders closely watching for cues that could either confirm a breakout above the current resistance or a potential pullback towards support around the $2,460 level. These movements are crucial for those involved in gold price analysis, prediction, and tracking price action around its recent ATH.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EUR/GBP: Key Support Levels in Focus
The EUR/GBP pair, commonly referred to as the "Chunnel," is a widely traded currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. Currently, this pair is experiencing a bearish trend, evident in its movement on the H4 chart. The price has been steadily declining, breaking below key Fibonacci retracement levels, with the 0.618 level at 0.84757 unable to hold as support. This downward movement is further confirmed by the MACD indicator, which shows negative divergence, with the MACD line below the signal line and histogram bars in negative territory. Additionally, the RSI is firmly in the oversold zone, around 20, indicating strong selling pressure, although it may also suggest that this bearish momentum could be overextended.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Given this technical setup, the EUR/GBP pair is likely to face continued downward pressure unless there is a clear bullish reversal. Traders should keep an eye on critical support levels near 0.84293, where the price is currently consolidating. A decisive break below this support could lead to further declines, aligning with the bearish outlook highlighted by both the MACD and RSI indicators. For those following “EUR/GBP technical analysis,” “EUR/GBP bearish trend,” and “EUR/GBP support levels,” these indicators and price movements provide valuable insights into potential market behavior and trading opportunities.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EUR/USD Price Action Analysis Ahead of Key Events

The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to by its nickname "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair in the world, representing the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD). Today’s fundamental analysis revolves around key upcoming events, including speeches from influential figures like Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve and Joachim Nagel of the Deutsche Bundesbank. These events are expected to provide insights into future monetary policies, with hawkish tones likely benefiting their respective currencies. Additionally, US economic data releases on GDP, unemployment claims, and trade balance will be closely monitored by traders for further indications on economic health and potential interest rate adjustments. Such fundamental factors can drive volatility in the EUR USD forex pair, making these announcements critical for intraday trading strategies.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of EURUSD, analyzed with Ichimoku Cloud, RSI, and Fibonacci retracement levels, indicates a consolidation phase after a recent downtrend. The price is currently moving between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a corrective pullback. Following a touch of the 0.236 level, two bullish candles have emerged, indicating potential upward momentum. This recovery is further supported by the price trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, although it recently touched the upper cloud boundary before rebounding. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a value below 50, signaling a lack of strong bullish momentum. If the price continues to hold above the Ichimoku cloud and breaks above the 0.236 Fibonacci level, a further move upwards could be anticipated, whereas a failure to do so may signal a continuation of the bearish trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USD/JPY H4 Chart Signals Bullish Breakout

The USD/JPY currency pair, often referred to as the "Gopher," is a popular forex trading pair that tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. It is one of the most traded currency pairs globally, offering high liquidity and volatility, making it a favorite among traders. Today's trading dynamics are likely to be influenced by economic indicators from both Japan and the US, including the Japanese Ministry of Finance's data on capital expenditures and the Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI.
Fundamentally, the USD/JPY pair may experience increased volatility today due to key economic data releases. The Japanese capital expenditures report, a significant indicator of economic health, suggests that if the actual figures exceed the forecast, the Yen could strengthen as increased business investment signals optimism in the economy. Additionally, the Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI is set to provide insights into Japan's manufacturing sector's health, with readings above 50 indicating expansion. However, with US banks closed for Labor Day, reduced liquidity in USD trading could result in erratic price movements. Traders should be cautious of potential spikes in volatility due to the lower trading volume, which might amplify reactions to the Japanese economic releases.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY H4 chart indicates a light bullish trend, with recent price action dominated by bullish candlesticks. The pair is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band, signaling strong upward momentum. The price has been oscillating between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands, suggesting a prevailing bullish sentiment. The Bollinger Bands are widening, which typically indicates increasing volatility. Furthermore, the price is situated between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels, a zone that often serves as a resistance area. If the price breaks above this zone, it may continue its upward trajectory; otherwise, a reversal could be possible if the bearish candles gain dominance. The Willy indicator shows mixed signals but leans slightly towards overbought conditions, warranting caution for potential corrections.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

NZDUSD Price Action Breaks Key Fibonacci Level

The NZDUSD, commonly referred to as the “Kiwi,” is a major forex pair consisting of the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the United States Dollar (USD). As a commodity currency pair, NZD/USD is influenced by global economic trends, commodity prices, and interest rate differentials. The pair is popular among traders for its liquidity and the potential for high volatility, often responding sharply to economic data and geopolitical developments.
Today’s key economic events could significantly impact the NZDUSD pair, particularly any updates related to New Zealand's trade balance, which plays a critical role in the currency's valuation. Positive data from New Zealand could strengthen the Kiwi, while any negative sentiment from the US market could drive the NZD USD forex pair lower. Additionally, any changes in the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates could also lead to volatility, as traders assess the future path of monetary policy in the US. Market participants will closely monitor these developments, which could set the tone for short-term price movements in the NZDUSD forex pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of NZDUSD displays a clear bearish trend, with 13 out of the last 19 candles being bearish, including the most recent one. The price has moved from the upper Bollinger Band towards the middle band and then to the lower band, where it is currently hovering, indicating strong selling pressure. The expansion of the Bollinger Bands suggests increasing volatility, supporting the downward movement. The price has recently broken below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and is now between the 0.382 Fibonacci level, highlighting a significant retracement from its recent highs. The RSI indicator is trending below 50 and approaching oversold territory, currently around 33.18, suggesting that while the bearish momentum is strong, there might be a potential for a short-term correction or consolidation before continuing its downward trajectory.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

AUDUSD bullish reversal on the H4 chart

The AUD/USD currency pair, also known as the "Aussie," is one of the most traded forex pairs, representing the strength and dynamics of the Australian dollar against the US dollar. With Australia being a resource-rich economy and the US being the world’s largest economy, the AUD USD pair is influenced by commodity prices, interest rate differentials, and overall market risk sentiment. Today, the market's attention is focused on the upcoming news from the Australian Bureau of Statistics regarding trade balance, as well as speeches by RBA Governor Michele Bullock, which may offer clues on future monetary policy. Additionally, key USD economic indicators, such as job cuts and labor market data, will further impact the direction of this pair. If Australia’s export data beats expectations or the RBA signals hawkish intentions, the Aussie could strengthen, while weak US labor data could also support a rise in AUD/USD.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD/USD H4 chart, we see several technical factors at play. The pair has been in a clear downtrend, moving from the 0 Fibonacci level down to below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. However, the recent Aussie’s price action shows a recovery, with four out of the last five candles being positive, pushing the price above the 0.236 Fibonacci level. If this momentum continues, AUD/USD could aim to return to the 0 Fibonacci level. In terms of Ichimoku, the price dropped below the cloud but is now making an effort to re-enter and test it, indicating potential bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD is showing signs of a possible bullish crossover, supported by a decreasing bearish histogram, which could signal further upward movement in the short term for AUD USD forex pair.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EURUSD H4 RSI and Fibonacci Levels in Focus

EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to as "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the Forex market, reflecting the value of the Euro against the U.S. Dollar. This pair is highly influenced by the economic and political events in both the Eurozone and the United States, making it a vital indicator of the global economy's health. Today’s upcoming news includes significant economic reports from both the Eurozone and the U.S., which are expected to impact the direction of EUR/USD price.
From a fundamental perspective, key reports from the Eurozone, such as industrial output, foreign trade balance, and employment data, will be essential to monitor. Better-than-expected results could strengthen the Euro, especially if industrial output and foreign trade data outperform forecasts, indicating robust economic health. On the U.S. side, the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate data are likely to dictate the market's sentiment toward the U.S. Dollar. A positive NFP figure would indicate a stronger labor market, potentially boosting the Dollar. Additionally, speeches from key Federal Reserve officials, like John Williams and Christopher Waller, may provide clues on future U.S. monetary policy. Any hints of further interest rate hikes could support the Dollar, pressuring the EUR/USD lower.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the technical analysis based on the EUR/USD H4 chart, the pair is showing a clear uptrend, supported by the last three bullish candles. The price is currently moving from the middle Bollinger Band toward the upper band, even touching the upper line. This suggests increasing volatility and a possible continuation of the upward movement. Additionally, the price has moved from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level to the 0.236 level and is now hovering near this point, showing potential to rise further toward the 0.0 Fibonacci retracement level. The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating higher market volatility, while the RSI is gradually climbing, signaling further bullish momentum. If the price breaks the 0.236 Fibonacci level convincingly, the next target could be the 0.0 Fibonacci level around 1.12029, with strong support at the 1.1050 region.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USDJPY Technical Analysis Hints at Further Losses

The USDJPY forex pair, commonly referred to as "The Ninja," is known for its volatility and is a major currency pair in the global foreign exchange market. It represents the strength of the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY), making it sensitive to economic indicators from both Japan and the United States. As of today, traders are eyeing key economic data from Japan, including the Bank of Japan’s release on outstanding loans, the current account figures from the Ministry of Finance, and quarterly GDP data, all of which can influence the JPY. In the US, wholesale inventories and consumer credit data are expected, potentially impacting the USD. These reports, especially the GDP and loan data, could cause fluctuations in the USDJPY, as they reflect consumer confidence and economic growth in Japan, while inventory data may signal shifts in business spending in the US.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USDJPY H4 chart, we see a clear bearish trend, reinforced by the price being below the Ichimoku cloud, a strong indicator of downward momentum. The recent Fibonacci retracement levels further highlight the price’s fall below the 0.786 level, which suggests that a deeper retracement might be underway. The chart shows that 7 of the last 10 candles are bearish, with the last three continuing this pattern, signaling strong selling pressure. The RSI indicator is also trending lower, currently below 30, which suggests oversold conditions, though there may still be room for further downside movement. Overall, the USDJPY’s technical indicators point to continued bearish momentum in the short term, with potential support around the 1 Fibonacci level.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Bearish Pressure Mounts on EUR/GBP

The EUR/GBP, often referred to as the "Chunnel," represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound, two of Europe's most widely traded currencies. Currently, this pair is facing bearish pressure as it tests a descending trendline on the H4 chart. MACD signals are weakening, with the histogram declining and the signal line converging near the MACD line. Additionally, the RSI stands at 56.59, showing a neutral position but with a declining bullish slope. The recent price action hints at the potential for a bearish wave if the bullish trendline below the current price of 0.84422 fails to hold.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Upcoming economic data for both the Eurozone and the UK are key factors that could shift the market's predictions. With German Final CPI expected at -0.1% and UK employment data, including the Claimant Count Change and Unemployment Rate, traders should watch closely. A break below the bullish trendline could lead to increased bearish momentum, favoring sellers, while a hold above this level might provide temporary support for the bulls, though technical indicators currently suggest a bearish bias.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EUR/USD H4 Chart Analysis with MACD and Fibonacci

The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to as "Fiber," is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, representing the economies of the European Union and the United States. Its liquidity and volatility make it a favorite among traders, especially during times of major economic releases from either region. Today, key European and US data, such as the Eurozone Wholesale Price Index and the US Producer Price Index (PPI), will be the focal points, offering insights into inflationary pressures in both economies. Higher-than-expected PPI or Wholesale Price Index results could signal potential price increases passed on to consumers, impacting inflation and potentially affecting ECB or Fed rate decisions.
Fundamentally, the euro currency may see significant movement today, driven by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) in the Eurozone and unemployment data from Istat, both of which indicate the broader economic health. Rising wholesale prices could further strain inflationary pressures, making the ECB's monetary policy increasingly important. On the US side, PPI data is crucial as it could signal inflationary changes, prompting traders to look for clues about the Fed’s future rate hikes. With the recent ECB decisions on rates and the looming US data, volatility is expected, especially if the data deviates significantly from forecasts.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EUR/USD H4 chart displays a clear downtrend, as the price has been consistently bearish over the past four candles. It has descended from the upper Bollinger Band and is now hovering between the middle and lower bands, indicating increasing bearish pressure. The Bollinger Bands have widened slightly, suggesting potential for further price movement, with volatility picking up. The Fibonacci retracement levels show that the price is fluctuating between the 0.382 and 0.5 levels, highlighting a potential support area near the 1.09116 level. However, the MACD indicator shows bearish momentum, as the histogram bars are increasing in the negative region, signaling that the price could continue its downward movement.
As the Fiber price approaches the lower bands and key Fibonacci levels, traders should watch for a break below the 1.09116 level, which could trigger further selling pressure. However, a reversal near the middle Bollinger Band could suggest consolidation or potential bullish recovery if it holds support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

NZDUSD H4 Trading Strategy and Key Zones

The NZD/USD currency pair, often referred to by its nickname "Kiwi," is a popular pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the New Zealand Dollar and the US Dollar. Traders and investors follow it closely due to New Zealand's commodity-based economy and the US Dollar's status as the world's reserve currency. Upcoming economic reports from both countries, including New Zealand's Performance of Manufacturing Index and the US Import Price Index and consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan, will likely influence market movements today.
Fundamentally, traders are paying attention to the US Import Price Index, which could indicate inflationary pressures, and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, which provide insights into consumer spending and inflation outlooks. A higher-than-expected reading for both reports would be bullish for the USD, potentially pushing NZD/USD downward. However, New Zealand's PMI, if it shows expansion, could support the Kiwi, creating mixed signals for the pair. Traders should watch these reports as they will directly impact the pair's short-term direction, especially as inflation data becomes more critical in the context of central bank policies.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the NZD/USD H4 chart shows a bullish momentum building, as the pair is moving towards the Ichimoku cloud but still trades below it. The last three candles have been bullish, with the price currently sitting around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. If the price can break above this level, there is potential for it to reach the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. The Williams %R indicator shows that the pair may be overbought in the short term, signaling possible resistance ahead. Traders should watch how the price reacts to the 0.382 Fibonacci level as it will dictate the next move upward or a possible retracement.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore